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Posts by category
- Category: Learning
- A Look at Bayesian Thinking And Its Applications in Life
- Applying Asymmetric Warfare Tactics in Business
- Defining Mind Mapping
- Discussing Lateral Thinking
- Discussing The Lindy Effect
- Dunbar’s Number and Its Relevance in Daily Life
- Expected Value – A Mathematical Concept to Improve Your Decision Making Skills
- Failure to Account For Base Rate – How It Affects Your Decision Making Process
- Fat Tail Distributions – What Are They and Why Do They Matter?
- Fundamental Attribution Error – What Is It and Why You Need to Avoid It?
- How to Boost Your Learning Power Using a Combination of Mind Tools?
- Is Convenience The Opium of The Masses Today?
- Learning How to Learn
- Long Tail – The Paradigm Shift in the 21st Century Marketplace
- Matthew Effect and Its Manifestations in Daily Life
- Mental Model of Circle of Competence
- Mental Model of Inversion
- Observer Selection Effect
- Opening the Book on Gresham’s Law
- Order of Magnitude – What Is It and Why Is It Needed?
- Prisoner’s Dilemma
- Renormalization Group
- Single and Double Loop Learning – How Organizations React to Problems and Why It Matters
- Survivorship Bias
- Systems Thinking And its Role in Problem Solving
- The And What You Should Know About It
- The Beginner’s Guide to Heuristics Based Problem Solving
- The Beginner’s Guide to the Law of Small Numbers
- The Beginner’s Guide to The Sunk Cost Fallacy
- The Concept of Exaptation and Its Relevance in Modern Life
- The Essence of Dharma
- The Map is Not The Territory – Explained in Simple Terms
- The Need to Avoid a Scarcity Mindset And Develop an Abundance Mindset
- The Power of Detachment
- The Principle of Tipping Point
- The Principle of Utility
- The Red Queen Effect
- Understanding Mental Models
- Understanding The Kelly Criterion and Its Applications
- What are Mental Models?
- What is Anti-fragility?
- Category: Managing
- Applying Asymmetric Warfare Tactics in Business
- Defining Mind Mapping
- Dunbar’s Number and Its Relevance in Daily Life
- Expected Value – A Mathematical Concept to Improve Your Decision Making Skills
- Fat Tail Distributions – What Are They and Why Do They Matter?
- How to make the right decisions
- It takes all the running you can do just to keep in same place
- Long Tail – The Paradigm Shift in the 21st Century Marketplace
- Single and Double Loop Learning – How Organizations React to Problems and Why It Matters
- Systems Thinking And its Role in Problem Solving
- The Beginner’s Guide to Heuristics Based Problem Solving
- The Beginner’s Guide to The Sunk Cost Fallacy
- The Map is Not The Territory – Explained in Simple Terms
- The Red Queen Effect
- What are Mental Models?
- What is Anti-fragility?
- Category: Thinking
- A Look at Bayesian Thinking And Its Applications in Life
- Applying Asymmetric Warfare Tactics in Business
- Autocatalysis – Life Lessons From a Self-Sustaining Chemical Reaction
- Defining Mind Mapping
- Discussing Lateral Thinking
- Discussing The Lindy Effect
- Dunbar’s Number and Its Relevance in Daily Life
- Failure to Account For Base Rate – How It Affects Your Decision Making Process
- Fat Tail Distributions – What Are They and Why Do They Matter?
- Fundamental Attribution Error – What Is It and Why You Need to Avoid It?
- Hanlon’s Razor or How You Can Learn to be More Trusting of Others
- How to Boost Your Learning Power Using a Combination of Mind Tools?
- Is Convenience The Opium of The Masses Today?
- Long Tail – The Paradigm Shift in the 21st Century Marketplace
- Matthew Effect and Its Manifestations in Daily Life
- Mental Model of Circle of Competence
- Mental Model of Inversion
- Observer Selection Effect
- Opening the Book on Gresham’s Law
- Order of Magnitude – What Is It and Why Is It Needed?
- Prisoner’s Dilemma
- Renormalization Group
- Seize The Middle
- Single and Double Loop Learning – How Organizations React to Problems and Why It Matters
- Survivorship Bias
- Systems Thinking And its Role in Problem Solving
- The Beginner’s Guide to the Law of Small Numbers
- The Concept of Exaptation and Its Relevance in Modern Life
- The Essence of Dharma
- The Map is Not The Territory – Explained in Simple Terms
- The Need to Avoid a Scarcity Mindset And Develop an Abundance Mindset
- The Power of Detachment
- The Principle of Occam’s Razor – Is the Simplest Explanation Always Correct?
- The Principle of Tipping Point
- The Principle of Utility
- Understanding Mental Models
- Understanding The Kelly Criterion and Its Applications
- What are Mental Models?
- What is Anti-fragility?
Mental Models
- Zero Tolerance
- Zero Sum
- Zawinski's Law
- Winning Hearts and Minds
- Winning a Battle but Losing the War
- Winner Take All Market
- Weekly 1-1s
- Virtual Team
- - Omission/Removal/Avoidance of Harm
- Veil of Ignorance
- Utility (Marginal, Diminishing, Increasing)
- Utilitarianism
- Unknown unknowns
- Unintended Consequences
- Unforced Error
- Two-sided market
- Two-Front War
- Trojan Horse
- Tragedy of the Commons
- Trade-offs
- Thought Experiment
- Third Rail
- The Third Story
- The Red Queen Effect (Co-evolutionary Arms Race)
- The Map is not the Territory
- The Lindy Effect
- Tendency to Want to Do Something (Fight/Flight, Intervention, Demonstration of Value, etc.)
- Tendency to Overgeneralize from Small Samples
- Tendency to Overestimate Consistency of Behavior (Fundamental Attribution Error)
- Tendency to Minimize Energy Output (Mental & Physical)
- Tendency to Feel Envy & Jealousy
- Tendency to Distort Due to Liking/Loving or Disliking/Hating
- Technology Adoption Lifecycle
- Switching Costs
- Sustainable Competitive Advantage
- Survivorship Bias
- Straw Man
- Strategy vs Tactics
- Strategic Acquisition vs Financial Acquisition vs Aquihire
- Stochastic Processes (Poisson, Markov, Random Walk)
- Spring-loading
- Sphere of Influence
- Specialization (Pin Factory)
- Spacing Effect
- Social vs Market Norms
- Social Proof (Safety in Numbers)
- Slippery Slope
- Simpson’s Paradox
- Simple Physiological Reward-Seeking
- Short-Termism
- Sensitivity to Fairness
- Sensitivity Analysis?
- Self-Preservation Instincts
- Selection Bias
- Seizing the Middle
- Seeing the Front
- Second-Order Thinking
- Scientific Method
- Scenario Analysis
- Scarcity
- Scale
- Rumsfeld's Rule
- Reversible vs Irreversible Decisions
- Response Bias
- Representativeness Heuristic
- Replication
- Renormalization Group
- Relativity
- Relative Satisfaction/Misery Tendencies
- Regulatory Capture
- Regression to the Mean
- Reciprocity
- Randomness
- Pygmalion Effect
- Purchasing Power Parity
- Proximate vs Root Cause
- Probabilistic Thinking
- Preserving Optionality
- Preferential Attachment (Cumulative Advantage)
- Precautionary Principle
- Poison Pill
- Peter Principle
- Peak Oil
- Pavlovian Association
- Parkinson’s Law
- Pareto Principle
- Paradox of Choice
- Paradigm shift?
- Opportunity Costs
- Open Platform vs Closed Platform
- Observer Effect
- Nuclear option
- Normal Distribution?
- Niches
- Network Effects
- Nature vs Nurture
- Natural Selection
- Narrative Instinct
- Mutually Assured Destruction
- Murphy's Law
- Multiplying by Zero
- Moore's Law
- Minimum Viable Product (MVP)
- Metcalfe's Law
- Maslow's Hierarchy of needs
- Margin of Safety
- Makers vs Manager's Schedule
- Luck Surface Area
- Loyalists vs Mercenaries
- Loss Aversion
- Long Tail
- Local vs Global Optimum
- Leverage
- Law of Large Numbers
- Law of Diminishing Returns
- Language Instinct
- Irreducibility
- Introversion vs Extraversion
- Information Asymmetry
- Influence of Stress (Including Breaking Points)
- Influence of Authority
- Inflection Point
- Imposter Syndrome
- Hindsight Bias
- High context vs Low context Culture
- Hierarchical and Other Organizing Instincts
- Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
- Half-life
- Hail Mary Pass
- Guerilla warfare
- Growth Mindset vs Fixed Mindset
- Gresham's Law
- Godwin's law
- Generalist vs Specialist
- Gate's Law
- Freemium
- Framing
- Fragility - Robustness - Antifragility
- Forcing Function
- Focus on High-leverage Activities
- Flypaper Theory
- First-Conclusion Bias
- First Principles Thinking
- First mover advantage
- Filter Bubble
- Filling a Vacuum
- Fighting the Last War
- Feedback Loops (and Homeostasis)
- Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD)
- Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)
- Falsification / Confirmation Bias
- False Positives and False Negatives
- False Cause
- Exit Strategy
- Evolution by Natural Selection
- Empty Fort Strategy
- Emergence
- Efficient-Market Hypothesis
- Effective Altruism
- Economies of Scale
- Duverger's Law
- Dunning-Kruger Effect
- Divide and Conquer
- Divergent and Convergent Thinking
- Distributive Justice vs Procedural Justice
- Directly Responsible Individual
- Design Pattern
- Deliberate Practice
- Deadweight Loss
- Curiosity Instinct
- Crowdsourcing?
- Criticality
- Critical Mass
- Creative Destruction
- Counterinsurgency
- Cost-benefit Analysis
- Core Competency
- Conspicuous Consumption
- Consequentialism
- Consequence vs Conviction
- Confirmation bias
- Complex Adaptive Systems
- Comparative Advantage
- Commitment & Consistency Bias
- Cognitive Biases
- Clarke's third law
- Circle of Competence
- Cialdini's Six Principles of Influence
- Churn rate
- Chilling Effect
- Chaos Dynamics (Butterfly Effect)/ (Sensitivity to Initial Conditions)
- Chain Reaction
- Cargo cult
- Butterfly Effect
- Bullseye Framework
- Boots on the Ground
- Black swan theory
- Black or White
- Black box
- Bias from Incentives
- Best Alternative to a Negotiated Agreement (BATNA)
- Bell Curve/Normal Distribution
- Beachhead
- Barriers to Entry
- Bandwagon Effect
- Availability Bias
- Attrition Warfare
- Asymmetric Warfare
- Arrow's Theorem
- Arguing from First Principles
- Arbitrage
- Appeasement
- Appeal to Emotion
- Anecdotal
- Alloying
- Algebraic Equivalence
- Adaptation
- Ad Hominem
- Active Listening
- Activation Energy
Heuristics
- Zero-sum thinking
- Zero-risk bias
- Worse than average effect
- Working backward
- Win-stay, lose-switch
- Well Travelled Road Effect
- Trial and error
- Tit-for-Tat heuristic
- Thinking, Fast and Slow
- The purpose of a system is what it does
- The illusion of validity (overconfidence)
- Technology As Magic
- Teachable moment
- Talking past each other
- Take-the-best heuristic
- System Justification
- Sutton's law
- Status Quo Bias
- Spotlight Effect
- Sour Grapes
- Social Comparison Bias
- Social-circle heuristic
- Slothful Induction
- Simulation heuristic
- Similarity heuristic
- Sharpshooter fallacy
- Self-organising heuristic
- Selective Perception
- Scope Neglect
- Scientific enterprise
- Scientific consensus
- Scarcity heuristic
- Satisficing
- Rule of thumb
- Rosy Retrospection
- Rippling
- Rhyme as Reason effect
- Reversal test
- Representativeness heuristic
- Reluctant Algorithms
- Recognition heuristic
- Reactive Devaluation
- Reactance
- Quantitative fallacy
- Proof Of Work
- Projection Bias
- Principle of least astonishment
- Pollen calendar
- Planning Fallacy
- Pessimism Bias
- Peak-end rule
- Parkinson's Law Of Triviality
- Parallel tempering
- Outcome Bias
- Ostrich Effect
- Optimism Bias
- Opportunistic Reasoning
- Omission Bias
- Null-move heuristic
- Not Invented Here
- Normalcy Bias
- Neuroheuristics
- Naive diversification
- Multiple discovery
- Multi-Prob Cut
- Moral Luck
- Mood Congruent Memory Bias
- Money illusion
- Misperceptions of chance
- Misinformation Effect
- Misconceptions of regression
- Meta-optimization
- Mere Exposure Effect
- M-ratio
- Lucky Streak
- Loss Aversion
- Littlewood's three principles of real analysis
- Law of small numbers
- Knowledge inertia
- Killer heuristic
- Key Derivation Function
- Irrational Escalation
- Insensitivity to Sample Size
- Insensitivity to predictability
- In-Group Bias
- Impact Bias
- Imitate the successful heuristic (aka follow the best heuristic)
- Imitate the majority heuristic (aka follow the majority heuristic)
- Illusory Correlation
- Illusion Of Transparency
- Illusion Of Superiority
- Illusion Of Control
- Illusion of asymmetric insight
- Identifiable Victim Effect
- Hyper-heuristic
- Humor Effect
- Human biocomputer
- Hot-hand fallacy
- Hitchens's razor
- Hindsight Bias
- Heuristics in judgment and decision-making
- Heuristics
- Heuristic systematic model of information processing
- Heuristic argument
- Heroic theory of invention and scientific development
- Hasty Generalization
- Hard Easy Effect
- Halo Effect
- Guided Local Search
- Group Attribution Error
- Graduated optimization
- Gaze heuristic
- Garbage-In Garbage-Out
- Gambler's Fallacy
- Fundamental Attribution Error
- Functional Fixedness
- Fudge factor
- Frequency Illusion
- Frecency
- Framing Effect
- Forward Chaining
- Forensic science
- Focusing Effect
- Fluency heuristic
- Fast-and-frugal trees
- Familiarity heuristic
- False Dilemma
- False Consensus Effect
- False Analogy
- Extremal optimization
- Expectation Bias
- Evaluation function
- Eurisko
- Equity heuristic (aka 1/N heuristic)
- Ensemble Learning
- Empathy Gap
- Effort heuristic
- Educated guess
- Edit Distance
- Duration Neglect
- Dunning Kruger Effect
- Duck test
- Disposition Effect
- Decoy Effect
- Decision Trees
- Decision Algorithms
- Debiasing
- Curse Of Knowledge
- Cryptomnesia
- Cross-entropy method
- Creeping Normality
- Contrast Effect
- Content sniffing
- Contagion heuristic
- Constructive heuristic
- Consistent heuristic
- Conjunction fallacy
- Congruence Bias
- Confirmation Bias
- Computational heuristic intelligence
- Complexity Bias
- Cognitive inertia
- Cognitive Dissonance
- Clustering illusion
- Circular reasoning
- Cherry Picking
- Brute Force
- Bizarreness Effect
- Bias Blind Spot
- Begging The Question
- Base Rate Fallacy
- Barnum Effect
- Baconian method
- Backward induction
- Backfire Effect
- Availability heuristic
- Availability Cascade
- Authority heuristic
- Attribute Substitution
- Attitude Polarization
- Anchoring
- Ambiguity Bias
- Algorithmic Pricing
- Affect heuristic
- Admissible heuristic
- Acquiescence bias
- Absurdity heuristic
- Above Average Effect